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Book Information
We find risk everywhere--from genetically modified crops, medical malpractice, and stem-cell therapy to heartbreak, online predators, identity theft, inflation, and robbery. They arise from our own acts and they are imposed on us. In this Very Short Introduction, Baruch Fischhoff and JohnKadvany draw on both the sciences and humanities to illuminate both the similarities and differences of various kinds of risk. Using conceptual frameworks such as decision theory and behavioral decision research, they examine the science and practice of creating measures of risk and look at howscientists apply probability by combining historical records, scientific theories, and expert judgment. Perhaps more important, they show what science has learned about how people deal with risks, applying these lessons to diverse everyday examples, demonstrating how we can move from understanding arisk to making a choice to diminish risk in everyday life.
Book ID Asin: 0199576203
Book Title: Risk: A Very Short Introduction
Book Author: Baruch FischhoffJohn Kadvany
Book Format and Price:
Book Price: unknown
Book Category: Books, New, Used & Rental Textbooks, Medicine & Health Sciences and unknown
Book Rating: 85 ratings
Book Product Detail
Publisher : Oxford University Press; 1st edition (July 1, 2011)
Language : English
Paperback : 144 pages
ISBN-10 : 0199576203
ISBN-13 : 978-0199576203
Item Weight : 4.9 ounces
Dimensions : 0.3 x 4.4 x 6.8 inches
Best Sellers Rank: #289,012 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
#28 in Health Risk Assessment (Books)
#61 in Risk Management (Books)
Customer Reviews:
4.5 out of 5 stars 85 ratings
About the Author
Baruch Fischhoff is Howard Heinz University Professor in the Department of Social and Decision Sciences and the Department of Engineering and Public Policy at Carnegie Mellon University. John Kadvany is a consultant whose clients include the Environmental Protection Agency and the US Department of Energy.
Book Review
Name: David J. Aldous
Rating: 5.0 out of 5 stars
Title: Masterfuloverviewofhowdifferentprofessionsviewrisk
Date: Reviewed in the United States on June 23, 2013
Review: This is not about data and specific advice regarding the risks that you as an individual face in everyday life (for which see
Name: fitzalling
Rating: 5.0 out of 5 stars
Title: Athoughtfulandcomprehensivelookatrisk
Date: Reviewed in the United States on December 5, 2016
Review: If you're not familiar with the parameters of risk, Professor Fischhoff and Mr. Kadvany provide a thorough and accessible explanation of the topic. If I tried to summarize the book, I'd say that first you have to determine what you value (what's bad and what's not); next, you must have a way to measure events (how many bad outcomes and good outcomes can one identify); and lastly, you must have some analytical framework to review the events (try to identify the causes of the outcomes and separate causation from correlation or randomness). Principally, one's focus will be on bad outcomes. Statistics are a common tool in this area.The authors look at a wide range of events - various illnesses, premature births, nuclear energy, and many others. These offer concrete examples for the processes for measuring and analyzing risk. The values issue is essential to determine what one measures and the scope of the analysis. As the authors move through the books, the complexity of risk becomes more apparent.Risk perception arises from the values that society or individuals hold. A risk may not be perceived because there is no general agreement on whether a loss occurs from the event. Since values can and do change, the general agreement on whether there is a loss may also change. The book will address circumstances where this has occurred.I had one very small observation about one study during WWII of the German bombing of London. The study purported to show that the German bombs were falling randomly on London and therefore there was no real way to decide how to seek shelter. I do not challenge the finding of the study that the German bombs were falling randomly on London, but I do strongly believe that the bombs were falling on London, and not, say, on Edinburgh. Thus, the fact that the bombs were falling on London was not random. If one wished to avoid the bombs, get out of London. If this minor observation did nothing else, it convinced me that the authors were forcing me to think about risk.I think the authors will cause you to think about risk as well. If the topic interests you, you would do well to read the book.
Name: L. Alexander
Rating: 3.0 out of 5 stars
Title: Wellwrittenbutnotveryexciting
Date: Reviewed in the United States on April 29, 2018
Review: The authors describe how risks are identified and evaluated to enable individuals and societies to make informed decisions. The book is logically organized and well-written. The concepts, and difficulties inherent in the subject, are illustrated with contemporary examples.The authors emphasize the central importance of values in making risk decisions. They put it this way: “The bad news about making risk decisions is that uncertainty about values (understanding what an individual or society wants) can be as challenging as uncertainty about facts (understanding what can be had).” (p. 87).Although this book is well-written and there are some interesting insights on how human beings struggle to make decisions, it was a struggle for me to finish the book.